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As Germany prepares for its upcoming elections, former Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba is warning European leaders about the growing Russian threat. The elections come just before the third anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, yet the war has been largely absent from Germany’s political debates.

Germany’s Elections and Ukraine’s War

Germany’s election season has focused on domestic issues, while Ukraine’s war remains in the background. Kuleba believes this is because many Germans feel secure and do not see themselves at risk.

“You don’t think it could happen to you,” he said. “We thought the same before 2022.” He understands why Germans feel safe—airstrikes on Berlin seem unimaginable. But he warns that security is fragile.

Despite Germany’s reluctance to focus on Ukraine, Kuleba acknowledges the country’s progress in supporting Ukraine. Since Russia’s invasion, Germany has become Ukraine’s second-largest military backer. It has provided financial aid, weapons, and training for Ukrainian soldiers.

The Taurus Missile Debate

Kuleba believes that Germany’s refusal to send Taurus cruise missiles overshadows its other contributions. He argues that in politics, people remember what was not done, rather than what was accomplished.

Throughout his time in office, Kuleba was critical of Germany’s hesitations. When German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock visited Kyiv in 2023 without committing to sending Taurus missiles, he voiced his frustration. “Why are we wasting time?” he asked.

Even after Kuleba resigned in September 2024, Germany has not changed its stance. He believes Chancellor Olaf Scholz has drawn a firm line. “He refused to send artillery, then changed his mind. He refused to send tanks, then changed his mind. But now, he is determined not to send the Taurus missiles,” Kuleba said.

He warns that this debate is about more than just one weapon system. It is about whether Europe is ready to take responsibility for its security. Kuleba believes that if Ukraine loses, Russian President Vladimir Putin will test NATO next.

“The West has failed to handle Putin for 20 years,” he said. “His goal is to destroy Ukraine and challenge the West.”

Germany’s Role in European Security

Germany has faced criticism for slow military aid decisions. However, over time, it has increased support for Ukraine. Initially hesitant, Germany later approved sending Leopard 2 tanks and other military equipment.

Yet, concerns remain about how fast European countries can act. The United States has also delayed military aid due to political divisions in Congress. Kuleba warns that hesitation gives Russia an advantage.

Many experts believe that European security depends on Ukraine’s resistance. If Ukraine falls, other nations near Russia, such as Poland and the Baltic states, could be at risk. NATO has strengthened its eastern flank, but questions remain about Europe’s long-term defense strategy.

Kuleba’s Resignation and His View on Ukraine’s Future

After resigning in September 2024, Kuleba began teaching at Harvard and Sciences Po in Paris. However, he continues to live in Ukraine. He wants to change the way academics and policymakers understand Ukraine.

“Many still see Ukraine through a Russian lens,” he said. “That shapes policies and decisions.”

For Ukrainians, the third anniversary of the war is a painful reminder of ongoing struggles. Russia continues its attacks, particularly in eastern Ukraine. Kuleba recalls the start of the invasion vividly.

“War forces decisions,” he said. “There’s no middle ground.”

In 2021, he already suspected Russia would invade. When the attack began, he had the choice to stay abroad or return home. Two people advised him to remain outside Ukraine for safety, but he refused.

“I crossed the border back into Ukraine on February 25,” he said. “I never doubted that decision.”

The Road Ahead for Europe and Ukraine

As Germany votes, European leaders must consider their next steps in supporting Ukraine. The war is far from over, and Russia continues to test the West’s response. Kuleba hopes that Germany and other nations will act before it is too late.

For more updates on global affairs, visit Financial Mirror.